{"id":67606,"date":"2025-06-19T08:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-19T15:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/?p=67606"},"modified":"2025-07-31T12:52:58","modified_gmt":"2025-07-31T02:52:58","slug":"holiday-predictions-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/holiday-predictions-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Consumer Optimism Will Turn a Corner Ahead of the Holidays"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Shoppers kicked off the first half of 2025 with the same energy as they did in 2024 \u2013 cautious, calculated, and weary of looming economic challenges. The first quarter\u2019s sales results reflected this mindset.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Online sales were essentially flat as consumers continued to wait out price and economic volatility. According to research by Salesforce, 51% of shoppers reported that they\u2019re currently prioritising essentials and 49% are pulling back on splurge purchases, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/form\/pdf\/holiday-readiness\/?d=701ed00000cY0NuAAK&amp;nc=701ed00000cYOy5AAG\">a trend reported in 2024 and continuing into the new year.<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The question on everyone\u2019s mind: Is this a sign of the holiday season to come? Early Salesforce data indicates that consumers may be turning a corner. Thirty-four percent of global consumers reported that they are feeling optimistic about the current state of the economy \u2014 that\u2019s a 22% increase over April 2024. When it comes to personal finances, 27% more consumers reported that their financial situations were improving over the last six months. Another exciting trend we\u2019re seeing shift is where consumers are spending their disposable income. For the past 12 months consumers have ranked savings and investments as the top place they were parking their money. But now that\u2019s changed. Consumers are now saying that they\u2019re back to prioritising spending their disposable incomes on physical goods, followed by savings, with experiences last.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/form\/pdf\/holiday-readiness\/?d=701ed00000cY0NuAAK&amp;nc=701ed00000cYOy5AAG\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" data-attachment-id=\"67618\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/holiday-predictions-2025\/fy26-holidayplanningguide-social-1200x675\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/06\/FY26-HolidayPlanningGuide-Social-1200x675-1.jpeg\" data-orig-size=\"1200,675\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"FY26-HolidayPlanningGuide-Social-1200&amp;#215;675\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/06\/FY26-HolidayPlanningGuide-Social-1200x675-1.jpeg?w=889\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/06\/FY26-HolidayPlanningGuide-Social-1200x675-1.jpeg?w=1200\" src=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/06\/FY26-HolidayPlanningGuide-Social-1200x675-1.jpeg?strip=all&#038;quality=95\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-67618\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/06\/FY26-HolidayPlanningGuide-Social-1200x675-1.jpeg 1200w, https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/06\/FY26-HolidayPlanningGuide-Social-1200x675-1.jpeg?w=889&amp;h=500 889w, https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/06\/FY26-HolidayPlanningGuide-Social-1200x675-1.jpeg?w=768&amp;h=432 768w, https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/06\/FY26-HolidayPlanningGuide-Social-1200x675-1.jpeg?w=150&amp;h=84 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite these positive signs, consumers are still cautious. One in three shoppers still report that they\u2019re buying less over the past six months, and 66% of all shoppers say that \u2014 regardless of whether they\u2019re buying more, less, or the same \u2014 they\u2019re trading down for lower priced goods. Nonetheless, that\u2019s a 22% decrease from 2024 in the rate of consumers reporting that they\u2019re making tradedowns. Additionally, the rate of consumers reporting that they\u2019re now buying more grew by 54% over 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There is more good news, though. In this era of economic uncertainty, there is also incredible opportunity for consumers and retailers alike, thanks to AI. From generative AI services going mainstream back in 2023 to AI agents today, the way consumers interact with the internet and the way that retailers operate is changing very rapidly. All of this new change is ushering in a new wave of how brands and consumers interact with each other.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/form\/pdf\/holiday-readiness\/?d=701ed00000cY0NuAAK&amp;nc=701ed00000cYOy5AAG\">So what does holiday 2025 look like<\/a> in a time of increasing economic pressure, rapidly changing consumer optimism, and artificial intelligence?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-our-2025-holiday-shopping-predictions\"><br>Our 2025 holiday shopping predictions:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Hyper-personalised product discovery is here<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>AI agents will boost employee productivity<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/commerce\/unified-commerce\/\">Unified commerce<\/a> experiences will supercharge online and offline sales<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Trade uncertainty will push shoppers to resale, as promotions are cut back<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Price and quality will drive loyalty<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Let\u2019s take a closer look at the data, along with our top tips for your most wonderful time of the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-holiday-shopping-prediction-1-hyper-personalised-product-discovery-is-here\">Holiday Shopping Prediction #1: Hyper-personalised product discovery is here.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The way people shop is evolving quickly. According to research by Salesforce, 5% of all shoppers now <em>start<\/em> their product search with AI chat assistants (like ChatGPT, Perplexity, Gemini, Meta AI, Grok, etc.). For Gen Z consumers, that number jumps to 10%. Additionally, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/resources\/research-reports\/connected-shoppers-report\/\">39% of shopper<\/a>s report using an AI chat at some point during their shopping journey. Even <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pymnts.com\/artificial-intelligence-2\/2025\/apple-and-google-investors-fret-as-chatgpt-gains-search-ground\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noopener\">major browser providers<\/a> are reporting that users are opting for these new age search tools over traditional search. Why are shoppers leaning into these tools? Because it gives them the best personalised product recommendations.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These tools are no longer just helpful add-ons or meme-makers, they\u2019re becoming the bridge between customers and brands, powering a new era of hyper-personalised, real-time shopping experiences. Fifty-nine percent of shoppers using AI chat services for product recommendations expect to use these tools to help them find gifts for friends and family this holiday. And they trust these recommendations too, with only 21% of consumers reporting that they distrust the recommendations from these tools. And they\u2019re not just using them in the digital world. Thirty percent of global consumers report using an AI chat assistant while shopping in brick-and-mortar retail stores. And for Gen Z and Millennials, that number is over 40%.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-quote-article\" style=\"\"><div class=\"wp-block-quote-social-wrapper\"><figure class=\"wp-block-quote-article-quote\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>This holiday season, we predict that 35% of retailers will be using agentic AI to boost their workplace and employee productivity.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n<div class=\"post__social post__social--v2 post__social--blockquote\">\n\n\t\n\t<ul class=\"social-nav social-nav-v2\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"social-nav__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<a\n\t\t\t\t\taria-label=\"Share on LinkedIn (Opens in a new tab)\"\n\t\t\t\t\thref=\"http:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/shareArticle?mini=true&#038;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.salesforce.com%2Fau%2Fblog%2Fholiday-predictions-2025%2F%3Futm_source%3DLinkedIn%26utm_medium%3Dorganic_social%26utm_campaign%3Dus_cbaw%26utm_content%3Dblog-ctt&#038;title=Consumer%20Optimism%20Will%20Turn%20a%20Corner%20Ahead%20of%20the%20Holidays\"\n\t\t\t\t\ttarget=\"_blank\"\n\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"21\" height=\"21\" fill=\"none\"><path fill=\"#032D60\" d=\"M16.625 0H4.375A4.375 4.375 0 0 0 0 4.375v12.25A4.375 4.375 0 0 0 4.375 21h12.25A4.375 4.375 0 0 0 21 16.625V4.375A4.375 4.375 0 0 0 16.625 0M7 16.625H4.375V7H7zM5.687 5.89a1.54 1.54 0 0 1-1.53-1.543c0-.852.685-1.544 1.53-1.544.846 0 1.532.692 1.532 1.544S6.534 5.89 5.687 5.89M17.5 16.625h-2.625v-4.903c0-2.947-3.5-2.724-3.5 0v4.903H8.75V7h2.625v1.544c1.222-2.262 6.125-2.43 6.125 2.167z\" \/><\/svg>\n\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"social-nav__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<a\n\t\t\t\t\taria-label=\"Share on Twitter (Opens in a new tab)\"\n\t\t\t\t\thref=\"https:\/\/x.com\/intent\/tweet?text=Consumer%20Optimism%20Will%20Turn%20a%20Corner%20Ahead%20of%20the%20Holidays&#038;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.salesforce.com%2Fau%2Fblog%2Fholiday-predictions-2025%2F%3Futm_source%3DTwitter%26utm_medium%3Dorganic_social%26utm_campaign%3Dus_cbaw%26utm_content%3Dblog-ctt&#038;via=salesforce\"\n\t\t\t\t\ttarget=\"_blank\"\n\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"#032D60\" viewBox=\"0 0 32 32\"><path d=\"M17.4 14.8 23 8.3h-1.3L16.8 14 13 8.3H8.5l5.9 8.5-5.9 6.8h1.3l5.1-6 4.1 6h4.5zm-1.8 2.1-.6-.8-4.7-6.8h2l3.8 5.5.6.8 5 7.1h-2z\" \/><\/svg>\n\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"social-nav__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<a\n\t\t\t\t\taria-label=\"Share on Facebook (Opens in a new tab)\"\n\t\t\t\t\thref=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.salesforce.com%2Fau%2Fblog%2Fholiday-predictions-2025%2F%3Futm_source%3DFacebook%26utm_medium%3Dorganic_social%26utm_campaign%3Dus_cbaw%26utm_content%3Dblog-ctt\"\n\t\t\t\t\ttarget=\"_blank\"\n\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"19\" height=\"19\" fill=\"none\"><path fill=\"#032D60\" d=\"M19 9.5a9.5 9.5 0 0 0-19 0c0 4.742 3.474 8.672 8.016 9.385v-6.639H5.604V9.5h2.412V7.407c0-2.38 1.418-3.696 3.588-3.696 1.04 0 2.127.185 2.127.185v2.338h-1.198c-1.18 0-1.549.733-1.549 1.484V9.5h2.635l-.421 2.746h-2.214v6.639C15.526 18.172 19 14.242 19 9.5\" \/><\/svg>\n\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\n\t\t<li class=\"social-nav__item\">\n\t\t\t<button\n\t\t\t\tclass=\"copy-share js-copy-link\"\n\t\t\t\taria-label=\"Copy link to clipboard\"\n\t\t\t\thref=\"#\"\n\t\t\t\tdata-clipboard-text='\"Consumer Optimism Will Turn a Corner Ahead of the Holidays\" https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/holiday-predictions-2025\/'\n\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"20\" height=\"10\" fill=\"none\"><path fill=\"#032D60\" d=\"M14.586.406h-3.667V2.24h3.667a2.76 2.76 0 0 1 2.75 2.75 2.76 2.76 0 0 1-2.75 2.75h-3.667v1.833h3.667a4.585 4.585 0 0 0 4.583-4.583A4.585 4.585 0 0 0 14.586.406m-5.5 7.334H5.419a2.76 2.76 0 0 1-2.75-2.75 2.76 2.76 0 0 1 2.75-2.75h3.667V.406H5.419A4.585 4.585 0 0 0 .836 4.99a4.585 4.585 0 0 0 4.583 4.583h3.667zm-2.75-3.667h7.333v1.833H6.336z\" \/><\/svg>\n\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t<\/li>\n\t<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p>Consumers now expect recommendations that take their needs into account, conversations that feel human, and support that\u2019s available on their terms wherever and whenever they need it. For retailers, this shift presents both a challenge and a massive opportunity. The brands that embrace AI as a strategic partner in customer engagement will be the ones that stand out, and win, this holiday season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This holiday season, we predict that $260B in online sales and $1.6T in in-store sales will be driven by shoppers discovering products through <a href=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/commerce\/ai\/shopping-assistants\/\">AI-powered<\/a> recommendations.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What you can do: <\/strong>Evaluate where you\u2019d like your brand to show up when it comes to AI chat assistants. As the chat assistants get more popular, customers will come to expect this kind of personalised one on one shopping experience. Drive conversions and loyalty with a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/commerce\/ai\/\">guided shopping agent <\/a>on your own site that guides shoppers through discovery and provides personalised product recommendations.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-holiday-shopping-prediction-2-ai-agents-will-boost-employee-productivity\">Holiday Shopping Prediction #2: AI Agents will boost employee productivity.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>AI isn\u2019t just disrupting the shopper experience, AI agents are poised to improve the employee experience as well. In an age where budgets are shrinking and margins are tightening, helping your workforce become even more effective is paramount. What are AI agents? AI agents are like AI-powered coworkers that can operate independently, without human intervention, and make decisions based on all the available data and their trained parameters.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/form\/pdf\/holiday-readiness\/?d=701ed00000cY0NuAAK&amp;nc=701ed00000cYOy5AAG\">Research by Salesforce shows that retailers are increasingly leveraging AI agents<\/a> to revolutionise both customer-facing interactions and backend operations. For customers, AI agents provide highly personalised shopping experiences by analysing browsing history, purchase patterns, and even real-time shopping signals to offer tailored product recommendations, answer intricate questions, and guide them through the purchasing journey with a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/commerce\/conversational-commerce\/\">conversational<\/a> interface. On the backend, AI agents are already redefining productivity. Today, agents are helping with inventory management, dynamic pricing, optimising supply chains, providing real time fraud monitoring, streamlining order fulfillment autonomously, among many other tasks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This holiday season, we predict that 35% of retailers will be using <a href=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/commerce\/ai\/agentic-commerce\/\">agentic AI<\/a> to boost their workplace and employee productivity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What you can do: <\/strong>The first step in launching an effective agentic AI strategy is to get your data prepped and connected. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/data\/\">Ready customer data for trusted and secure access<\/a> by breaking down data silos and harmonising data across applications.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-holiday-shopping-prediction-3-unified-commerce-experiences-will-supercharge-online-and-offline-sales\">Holiday Shopping Prediction #3: Unified commerce experiences will supercharge online and offline sales.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>While digital channels had a meteoric rise over the last 5 years, physical stores remain the dominant retail sales channel, accounting for a remarkable <a href=\"https:\/\/www.statista.com\/statistics\/534123\/e-commerce-share-of-retail-sales-worldwide\/#:~:text=Internet%20sales%20have%20played%20an%20increasingly%20significant,21%20percent%20of%20total%20global%20retail%20sales.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noopener\">83% of all retail sales<\/a> in 2024. That being said, it doesn\u2019t have to be an either\/or scenario. Shopping journeys are becoming incredibly complex, scattered, and disjointed. In fact, according to research by Salesforce, the average shopper interacts with a brand nine different times before making a single purchase. In just the last three months, 80% of consumers have made at least one purchase in a store, 83% online, and 24% on a social media platform. It is now critical for retailers to facilitate a seamless shopping experience that transcends individual channels, devices, and locations, allowing consumers to interact with their brand fluidly.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/form\/pdf\/holiday-readiness\/?d=701ed00000cY0NuAAK&amp;nc=701ed00000cYOy5AAG\">The holiday season is an especially important moment for brick-and-mortar stores<\/a>. While <em>Cyber<\/em> Week has been hallmarked as a digital shopping event, consumers are still headed to the store. When asked where shoppers will buy this upcoming holiday season, the number one response across all generations was brick-and-mortar stores, followed closely by online marketplaces. In fact, 79% of holiday shoppers report that they will be shopping in store this upcoming holiday season, while 78% will be shopping across online marketplaces. Even three in four Gen Z shoppers will be hitting up stores this year. In fact, on the most important shopping days of the year shoppers prefer the store. Fifty-one percent of shoppers report that they still prefer to shop in store on Black Friday, up from 31% in 2024. Gen Z is leading that trend with an incredible 65% reporting their in store preference for the major deal event. That puts them way ahead of the 30% of Baby Boomers who reported a preference for brick-and-mortar Black Friday shopping.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-quote-article\" style=\"\"><div class=\"wp-block-quote-social-wrapper\"><figure class=\"wp-block-quote-article-quote\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>Seventy-six percent of shoppers report that they\u2019re waiting for Cyber Week to make big purchases this year.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n<div class=\"post__social post__social--v2 post__social--blockquote\">\n\n\t\n\t<ul class=\"social-nav social-nav-v2\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"social-nav__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<a\n\t\t\t\t\taria-label=\"Share on LinkedIn (Opens in a new tab)\"\n\t\t\t\t\thref=\"http:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/shareArticle?mini=true&#038;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.salesforce.com%2Fau%2Fblog%2Fholiday-predictions-2025%2F%3Futm_source%3DLinkedIn%26utm_medium%3Dorganic_social%26utm_campaign%3Dus_cbaw%26utm_content%3Dblog-ctt&#038;title=Consumer%20Optimism%20Will%20Turn%20a%20Corner%20Ahead%20of%20the%20Holidays\"\n\t\t\t\t\ttarget=\"_blank\"\n\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"21\" height=\"21\" fill=\"none\"><path fill=\"#032D60\" d=\"M16.625 0H4.375A4.375 4.375 0 0 0 0 4.375v12.25A4.375 4.375 0 0 0 4.375 21h12.25A4.375 4.375 0 0 0 21 16.625V4.375A4.375 4.375 0 0 0 16.625 0M7 16.625H4.375V7H7zM5.687 5.89a1.54 1.54 0 0 1-1.53-1.543c0-.852.685-1.544 1.53-1.544.846 0 1.532.692 1.532 1.544S6.534 5.89 5.687 5.89M17.5 16.625h-2.625v-4.903c0-2.947-3.5-2.724-3.5 0v4.903H8.75V7h2.625v1.544c1.222-2.262 6.125-2.43 6.125 2.167z\" \/><\/svg>\n\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"social-nav__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<a\n\t\t\t\t\taria-label=\"Share on Twitter (Opens in a new tab)\"\n\t\t\t\t\thref=\"https:\/\/x.com\/intent\/tweet?text=Consumer%20Optimism%20Will%20Turn%20a%20Corner%20Ahead%20of%20the%20Holidays&#038;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.salesforce.com%2Fau%2Fblog%2Fholiday-predictions-2025%2F%3Futm_source%3DTwitter%26utm_medium%3Dorganic_social%26utm_campaign%3Dus_cbaw%26utm_content%3Dblog-ctt&#038;via=salesforce\"\n\t\t\t\t\ttarget=\"_blank\"\n\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"32\" height=\"32\" fill=\"#032D60\" viewBox=\"0 0 32 32\"><path d=\"M17.4 14.8 23 8.3h-1.3L16.8 14 13 8.3H8.5l5.9 8.5-5.9 6.8h1.3l5.1-6 4.1 6h4.5zm-1.8 2.1-.6-.8-4.7-6.8h2l3.8 5.5.6.8 5 7.1h-2z\" \/><\/svg>\n\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"social-nav__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<a\n\t\t\t\t\taria-label=\"Share on Facebook (Opens in a new tab)\"\n\t\t\t\t\thref=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.salesforce.com%2Fau%2Fblog%2Fholiday-predictions-2025%2F%3Futm_source%3DFacebook%26utm_medium%3Dorganic_social%26utm_campaign%3Dus_cbaw%26utm_content%3Dblog-ctt\"\n\t\t\t\t\ttarget=\"_blank\"\n\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"19\" height=\"19\" fill=\"none\"><path fill=\"#032D60\" d=\"M19 9.5a9.5 9.5 0 0 0-19 0c0 4.742 3.474 8.672 8.016 9.385v-6.639H5.604V9.5h2.412V7.407c0-2.38 1.418-3.696 3.588-3.696 1.04 0 2.127.185 2.127.185v2.338h-1.198c-1.18 0-1.549.733-1.549 1.484V9.5h2.635l-.421 2.746h-2.214v6.639C15.526 18.172 19 14.242 19 9.5\" \/><\/svg>\n\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\n\t\t<li class=\"social-nav__item\">\n\t\t\t<button\n\t\t\t\tclass=\"copy-share js-copy-link\"\n\t\t\t\taria-label=\"Copy link to clipboard\"\n\t\t\t\thref=\"#\"\n\t\t\t\tdata-clipboard-text='\"Consumer Optimism Will Turn a Corner Ahead of the Holidays\" https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/holiday-predictions-2025\/'\n\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"20\" height=\"10\" fill=\"none\"><path fill=\"#032D60\" d=\"M14.586.406h-3.667V2.24h3.667a2.76 2.76 0 0 1 2.75 2.75 2.76 2.76 0 0 1-2.75 2.75h-3.667v1.833h3.667a4.585 4.585 0 0 0 4.583-4.583A4.585 4.585 0 0 0 14.586.406m-5.5 7.334H5.419a2.76 2.76 0 0 1-2.75-2.75 2.76 2.76 0 0 1 2.75-2.75h3.667V.406H5.419A4.585 4.585 0 0 0 .836 4.99a4.585 4.585 0 0 0 4.583 4.583h3.667zm-2.75-3.667h7.333v1.833H6.336z\" \/><\/svg>\n\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t<\/li>\n\t<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p>Why are the youngest generations gravitating to brick-and-mortar? Immediacy, experience, and product discovery are the top three factors driving shoppers to stores. Seventy-two percent of Gen Z shoppers report being able to get their products immediately as their top reason for choosing the store, beating out all other generations in the need for speed. Meanwhile, 42% of Gen Zers like to touch and feel the merchandise before purchasing and 28% reporting it\u2019s easier to browse and discover new products in store.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Why is this important? Understanding how and where shoppers are buying lets retailers meet them where they are, with the right experience tailored to each channel. Most importantly, in this new era of AI-led shopping, having a solid, unified commerce strategy is crucial to ensuring AI-driven, personalised experiences are supported by real-time inventory and consistent data across all channels. Without it, the promise of AI-enhanced personalisation falters due to fragmented information and inconsistent service. And in an age where the youngest consumer generations are calling for more choice and diversity in where they shop, the stakes are even higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This holiday season, we predict that for every $1 that Gen Z spends online, they will spend $3 more in-store this holiday season, making brick-and-mortar a critical channel for success with younger generations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What you can do: <\/strong>While the youngest shoppers prefer to shop in store, they are the most likely to be discovering and researching across many digital channels. Enable your audience to shop your brand, not your channels by having a robust <a href=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/commerce\/what-is-omnichannel\/\">omni-channel<\/a> strategy. This is not just an advantage, but a necessity to cultivate loyalty and capture market share.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-holiday-shopping-prediction-4-trade-uncertainty-will-push-shoppers-to-resale-as-promotions-are-cut-back\">Holiday Shopping Prediction #4: Trade uncertainty will push shoppers to resale, as promotions are cut back.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Supply chain uncertainty has dominated headlines since 2020, but in 2025 tariffs are putting even more pressure on retailers and consumers alike. Tariffs are squeezing already tight margins for retailers. The ending of de minimis and looming price increases are putting consumers on notice as the already cost-conscious population is finally feeling some optimism. But it\u2019s not just pricing that\u2019s top of mind. Tariff showdowns are likely to cause inventory shortages later this year as retailers cancel orders and shifting supply chains send shockwaves to product availability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite tariffs, consumers are used to pivoting their buying behavior due to volatility in the supply chain. It wasn\u2019t long ago that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/global-markets-supply-pix-2021-11-03\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noopener\">first<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/Blogs\/Articles\/2024\/03\/07\/Red-Sea-Attacks-Disrupt-Global-Trade\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noopener\">middle<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/postal-package-deliveries-bogged-down-with-delays-backlogs-11590836400?gaa_at=eafs&amp;gaa_n=ASWzDAiwIWQknXxmcccTtzx1rnYQ2FYN5V7YdpA7ccBr9os8q7s_KSrFDyLx5C6hx7A%3D&amp;gaa_ts=685179ca&amp;gaa_sig=84tsNr_yyrM3FzBPOOZZyyB-gz8FlepVXzXIvtQA5h0tv5Whh_YuGESSJqOhtkaS6C0hVtneeM4s8FK92bfxUg%3D%3D\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noopener\">last-mile<\/a> supply chain issues put the holiday season in flux year after year. This year is no different.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When asked how tariffs are impacting their purchasing habits, 40% of global shoppers said that they\u2019re just buying essentials right now while they wait out the trade implications. Another 26% said that they\u2019re holding back on splurge purchases. In the US, 43% of shoppers are reporting a doubling down on essentials, while 32% are stocking up on the items they need before price changes go into effect. Nonetheless, despite the noise, 23% of global shoppers are not making any changes to their buying habits right now, driven by the much more economically-resilient Baby Boomer generation and high-income earners in general. But one thing is absolutely clear, the average shopper is paying attention and they\u2019re making changes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What does this mean for the holiday shopper? They\u2019re going to be looking for ways to get the gifts they want at the best price possible. One way they\u2019ll get those low prices is by waiting. Seventy-six percent of shoppers report that they\u2019re waiting for Cyber Week to make big purchases this year. This is up from 67% of shoppers who reported waiting for Cyber Week deals last year. The second way shoppers will seek better pricing is by turning to resale. Seventeen percent of shoppers report that they\u2019re turning to resale items as a way to combat tariff volatility. And it\u2019s not just for their everyday needs. Forty-six percent of shoppers report that they are planning on buying a previously owned item in order to give as a gift over the next six months.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Why the draw to resale? Sixty-eight percent of shoppers say that gifting resale allows them to save money, while 35% report it allows them to practice sustainability and reduce waste. In fact, pricing and sustainability were the top two reasons why shoppers are choosing resale across every single generation. Meanwhile, product availability came in third as inventory scarcity continues to weigh on shoppers.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This holiday season, we predict that shoppers will spend $64B on resold merchandise as they look to cut costs and reduce waste. In response to rising supply chain costs, season promotionality will scale back as 2% fewer orders will transact with a promotional code.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What you can do: <\/strong>Review and adjust your pricing strategies, negotiate with suppliers, enhance supply chain visibility, and optimise fulfillment without compromising the customer experience. Take a long-term approach to protecting profit margins in these market conditions, rather than opting for quick fixes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/form\/pdf\/holiday-readiness\/?d=701ed00000cY0NuAAK&amp;nc=701ed00000cYOy5AAG\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" data-attachment-id=\"67618\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/holiday-predictions-2025\/fy26-holidayplanningguide-social-1200x675\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/06\/FY26-HolidayPlanningGuide-Social-1200x675-1.jpeg\" data-orig-size=\"1200,675\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"FY26-HolidayPlanningGuide-Social-1200&amp;#215;675\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/06\/FY26-HolidayPlanningGuide-Social-1200x675-1.jpeg?w=889\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/06\/FY26-HolidayPlanningGuide-Social-1200x675-1.jpeg?w=1200\" src=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/06\/FY26-HolidayPlanningGuide-Social-1200x675-1.jpeg?strip=all&#038;quality=95\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-67618\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/06\/FY26-HolidayPlanningGuide-Social-1200x675-1.jpeg 1200w, https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/06\/FY26-HolidayPlanningGuide-Social-1200x675-1.jpeg?w=889&amp;h=500 889w, https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/06\/FY26-HolidayPlanningGuide-Social-1200x675-1.jpeg?w=768&amp;h=432 768w, https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/06\/FY26-HolidayPlanningGuide-Social-1200x675-1.jpeg?w=150&amp;h=84 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-holiday-shopping-prediction-5-price-and-quality-will-drive-loyalty\">Holiday Shopping Prediction #5: Price and quality will drive loyalty.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Attracting and retaining loyal customers is a continuous process that retailers spend years building, perfecting, and evolving. What drives customer loyalty has changed drastically every single year since 2020, and that trend continues. As budgets remain tight and uncertainty looms, shoppers will be turning to brands and retailers that deliver what they need. This year, loyalty will be defined by two main things: price and quality. Price sensitivity has been top of mind for some time now as consumers battle inflation. When asked what factors will influence their decision to buy from one retailer over the next in 2025, free delivery and lower prices are at the top of the list. A new factor, however, has snuck in under the radar\u2014product quality\u2014as the third most important factor.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Why product quality? Since Salesforce has been tracking this metric, product quality hasn\u2019t reached the top of the list since the Covid era, when consumers had more buying power. In 2025, it\u2019s back to the top. For those watching the drop shipping craze of 2024, it\u2019s likely not a surprise that consumers would eventually crave better quality products. As homes filled up with cheap goods, and as de minimis exemptions end, consumers are turning back to products that can stand the test of time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The great news is that consumers also seem to want to stay loyal. The rate of purchases coming from repeat shoppers continues to grow in 2025, with Q1 seeing a 6% year-over-year increase in this metric. As shopping experiences and loyalty programs continue to improve, consumers are consolidating their purchases with their favorite brands. For this holiday season, this means paying close attention to your existing customers and delivering on the experiences and value they\u2019re looking for.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This holiday season, we predict that loyal shoppers will spend 20% more this holiday compared to every new shopper acquired.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What you can do: <\/strong>Ensure you are delivering on your brand\u2019s promises in terms of pricing and product quality, and efficiently create personalised engagements in your customer recognition and rewards programs utilising a <a href=\"https:\/\/help.salesforce.com\/s\/articleView?id=xcloud.loyaltyoverview.htm&amp;type=5\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\" noopener\">Loyalty Management<\/a><strong> <\/strong>suite.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-what-our-holiday-shopping-predictions-mean-for-you\">What our holiday shopping predictions mean for you<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>As we move into an era of hyper-personalised discovery and browsing, led by a conversational interface, commerce is on the precipice of major change. Not only is shopper behavior changing quickly, expectations are rising as the walls between channels continue to blur.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This season will undoubtedly be competitive as the industry looks to grab wallet share from price-sensitive consumers. A unified commerce journey is paramount to delivering on the intelligent, connected, and personalised journeys that shoppers are demanding.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"layout-five wp-block-salesforce-blog-offer\">\n\t<div class=\"wp-block-offer__wrapper\">\n\n\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-offer__content\">\n\t\t\t<h2 class=\"wp-block-offer__title\">The 2025 Retail Holiday Planning Guide has landed<\/h2>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"wp-block-offer__description\">Explore smarter product recommendations, happier shoppers, and a little help from AI.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-button\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"wp-block-button__link\" target=\"_self\" href=\"http:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/form\/pdf\/holiday-readiness\/?d=701ed00000cY0NuAAK&#038;nc=701ed00000cYOy5AAG\">Download now<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-offer__media\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\t\n\t\t\t<!-- Standard Illustration -->\n\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-block-offer__graphics wp-block-offer__illustration\" src=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/wp-content\/themes\/salesforce-blog\/dist\/images\/offer-block\/offer-illustration-layout-five.png\" alt=\"\">\n\n\t\t<!-- Small Accent Illustration -->\n\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-block-offer__graphics wp-block-offer__accent\" src=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/wp-content\/themes\/salesforce-blog\/dist\/images\/offer-block\/offer-accent-layout-five.png\" alt=\"\">\n\t\t\n\t\t<!-- Left Side Illustration -->\n\t\t\n\t\t<!-- Cloud Illustration -->\n\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-block-offer__graphics wp-block-offer__cloud\" src=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/wp-content\/themes\/salesforce-blog\/dist\/images\/offer-block\/offer-cloud-layout-five.png\" alt=\"\">\n\t\t\n\t<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>How AI will change this year&#8217;s holiday shopping season.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":613,"featured_media":67608,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sf_justforyou_enable_alt":true,"optimizely_content_id":"68531b8fb89b9fb8a3efa48d","post_meta_title":"","ai_synopsis":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"sf_topic":[2538,2495,3138],"sf_content_type":[],"coauthors":[2874],"class_list":["post-67606","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","sf_topic-commerce","sf_topic-retail","sf_topic-holiday-readiness"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.2 (Yoast SEO v27.2) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Consumer Optimism Will Turn a Corner Ahead of the Holidays | Salesforce<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Salesforce research indicates a holiday shopping season informed by changes brought about my agentic commerce and macroeconomic conditions.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/holiday-predictions-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Consumer Optimism Will Turn a Corner Ahead of the Holidays\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"How AI will change this year&#039;s holiday shopping season.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/holiday-predictions-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Salesforce\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/salesforce\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-06-19T15:00:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-07-31T02:52:58+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.salesforce.com\/au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/06\/GettyImages-557476227-RF.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"492\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"351\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Caila Schwartz\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@salesforce\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@salesforce\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Caila Schwartz\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"13 minutes\" \/>\n<script 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